Santa Cruz RS vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 2
GLO
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SCI
2 - 0
SAN
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 81 | 38 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
GLO
4 - 2
SAN
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
SCI
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 1
SCI
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
FAR
3 - 2
NOV
15%
20%
65%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 2
FAR
83%
12%
6%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
SCI
0 - 0
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |