Santa Cruz RN vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
FEL
0 - 2
SAN
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARN
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
POT
35%
24%
40%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 4
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
POT
2 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAL
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 6
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
GLO
5 - 0
ASS
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |