Santa Cruz RN vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
POT
39%
26%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 2
GLO
22%
26%
53%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 3
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARN
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARN
1 - 1
SPO
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 2
ARN
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ARN
1 - 1
CRB
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
FEL
1 - 4
ARN
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |