Santa Cruz vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
RIO
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
CEA
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AME
0 - 0
SAN
9%
18%
73%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
SPO
12%
20%
69%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
CRB
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 1
SPO
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 1
BOT
76%
17%
8%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |