Santa Cruz vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
VOL
0 - 0
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
JAC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLO
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
SAN
41%
28%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
FLO
0 - 2
PAY
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PAY
0 - 0
VOL
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
JAC
0 - 2
PAY
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
PAY
0 - 2
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 1
PAY
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |