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Série C Brazil. Group A, Matchday 6

Santa Cruz Paysandu
44 ELO 42
-24% Tilt 1%
1011º General ELO ranking 1720º
47º Country ELO ranking 128º
ELO win probability
38.7%
Santa Cruz
29.6%
Draw
31.7%
Paysandu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
Santa Cruz
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
31.7%
Win probability
Paysandu
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Points and table prediction

Santa Cruz
Their league position
Paysandu
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
10º
4
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Volta Redonda
6
41
91%
Manaus
6
30
14%
Altos
4
33
10%
Botafogo PB
4
25
11%
Floresta EC
4
25
11%
Ferroviário
4
20
11%
Paysandu
4
26
10%
Tombense
3
25
10%
Santa Cruz
1
7
10º
18%
Jacuipense
10º
1
11
17%
Expected probabilities
Santa Cruz
Paysandu
Next phase
24% 40%
Mid-table
41% 42%
Relegation
35% 18%

ELO progression

Paysandu
PAY
Santa Cruz
SAN
Ferroviário
FER
Altos
ALT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2021
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 0
Floresta EC
FLO
47%
27%
26%
745 753 -8 0
30 May. 2021
MAN
Manaus
2 - 0
Santa Cruz
SAN
37%
28%
35%
750 396 -354 -5
09 May. 2021
NAU
Náutico
2 - 1
Santa Cruz
SAN
42%
27%
31%
990 792 -198 -1
06 May. 2021
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 0
Afogados
AFO
51%
26%
23%
990 824 166 0
02 May. 2021
AFO
Afogados
0 - 0
Santa Cruz
SAN
42%
28%
31%
990 824 -166 0

Matches

Paysandu
Paysandu
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2021
JAC
Jacuipense
0 - 2
Paysandu
PAY
37%
28%
35%
658 328 -330 +3
08 Jun. 2021
PAY
Paysandu
0 - 2
Botafogo PB
BOT
46%
27%
27%
662 722 -60 -4
30 May. 2021
TOM
Tombense
1 - 1
Paysandu
PAY
37%
28%
35%
663 317 -346 -1
23 May. 2021
PAY
Paysandu
4 - 1
Tuna Luso
TUN
29%
26%
45%
735 1498 -763 +2
16 May. 2021
TUN
Tuna Luso
4 - 2
Paysandu
PAY
63%
21%
16%
735 1497 762 0