Santa Cruz vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
ATM
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMF
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SCI
1 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 3
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
AMF
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 3
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRZ
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |