Santa Cruz vs Floresta EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
SAN
41%
28%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
AFO
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AFO
0 - 0
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
RFC
2 - 3
SAN
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 0
JAC
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 0
FLO
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FLO
0 - 1
MIR
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 2
FLO
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 1
NOV
28%
27%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |