Santa Cruz vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
JAC
1 - 0
SAN
17%
28%
56%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAN
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
REM
0 - 2
SAN
29%
30%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 6
SAN
13%
27%
60%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FER
7 - 0
IMP
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PAY
3 - 0
FER
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
JAC
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
FER
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |