Santa Cruz vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 2
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAL
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 3
SAN
18%
25%
57%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
BAH
2 - 1
FLA
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SDJ
2 - 3
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
ATL
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 0
BAH
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOA
3 - 0
BAH
23%
28%
50%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |