Santa Cruz vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
AFO
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
CEN
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSA
31%
26%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
CON
3 - 2
DOR
72%
17%
12%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
CRB
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
AFP
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
VIT
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |