Santa Cruz vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
5 - 3
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ATP
2 - 1
SCI
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
ATP
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 1
GRE
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATP
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |