Santa Cruz vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAU
63%
19%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 2
SAN
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AFO
1 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
AFO
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 2
ASA
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
AFO
7 - 0
SPC
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
ICA
2 - 5
AFO
49%
26%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |