Santa Cruz vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
AFO
0 - 0
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
RFC
2 - 3
SAN
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
SSS
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAL
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
AFO
0 - 0
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 2
AFO
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AFO
2 - 1
VCR
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 1
AFO
44%
27%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AFO
0 - 0
SPO
9%
18%
73%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | +1 |