Santa Cruz vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 1
SAN
14%
22%
64%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
ACA
88%
9%
2%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 2
SAN
13%
22%
66%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
FEL
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
67%
19%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 1
GLO
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
2 - 1
ABC
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |