AD Sanjoanense vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
34%
24%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
BMA
27%
26%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
SAN
9%
16%
75%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
LUS
20%
24%
57%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 1
RDA
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
LUS
74%
17%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
1 - 3
LUS
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 2
VAL
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |