AD Sanjoanense vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
10º
9º
31
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIA
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
VST
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ANA
2 - 2
SAN
41%
26%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
4 - 0
ANA
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 2
LUS
35%
27%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 2
ACV
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
TRO
36%
28%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
10 - 0
REG
70%
17%
14%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |