noscript image

J1 League. Matchday 21

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sagan Tosu
46 ELO 42
-33% Tilt -14%
2049º General ELO ranking 2688º
13º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
40.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
31.9%
Draw
28.1%
Sagan Tosu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
28.1%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-5%
+7%
Sagan Tosu

Basic stats

42
58
POS
16
5
SOT
6
4
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
18
9
FRK
46
42
ELO
1.1
0.8
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Their league position
Sagan Tosu
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
12º
12º
38
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kawasaki Frontale
58
92
88%
Yokohama F. Marinos
46
81
51%
Vissel Kobe
41
68
18%
Sagan Tosu
38
60
11%
Nagoya Grampus
37
59
9%
Kashima Antlers
35
63
8%
Urawa Reds
35
58
8%
FC Tokyo
35
59
8%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30
51
11º
7%
Consadole Sapporo
10º
29
55
6%
Avispa Fukuoka
11º
29
51
12º
7%
Cerezo Osaka
12º
26
51
10º
6%
Gamba Osaka
13º
26
42
13º
8%
Shimizu S-Pulse
14º
23
41
14º
8%
Shonan Bellmare
15º
21
40
15º
9%
Kashiwa Reysol
16º
20
40
16º
9%
Tokushima Vortis
17º
20
37
17º
10%
Vegalta Sendai
18º
17
35
18º
12%
Oita Trinita
19º
16
30
19º
16%
Yokohama
20º
11
26
20º
32%
Expected probabilities
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sagan Tosu
Champion
0% 0%
AFC Champions League
6% 18%
Mid-table
80% 77%
Relegation
14% 4%

ELO progression

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
Sagan Tosu
SAG
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
Yokohama
YOK
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
Gamba Osaka
GAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2021
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 0
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
47%
27%
26%
776 745 31 +6
16 Jun. 2021
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 5
Ococias Kyoto
ASC
56%
25%
20%
790 489 301 -14
30 May. 2021
FCT
FC Tokyo
0 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
49%
26%
25%
789 854 65 +1
26 May. 2021
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 - 2
Urawa Reds
URA
41%
28%
31%
789 914 -125 0
23 May. 2021
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
58%
24%
19%
780 1195 415 +8

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 2021
FCY
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 - 0
Sagan Tosu
SAG
56%
24%
20%
665 1046 381 -6
09 Jun. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 0
Roasso Kumamoto
ROA
53%
25%
22%
660 484 176 +6
30 May. 2021
VIS
Vissel Kobe
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
51%
26%
23%
658 845 187 +1
26 May. 2021
CON
Consadole Sapporo
0 - 0
Sagan Tosu
SAG
53%
25%
22%
657 810 153 +1
22 May. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Kashima Antlers
KAA
35%
27%
37%
649 1144 -495 +8