Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
VEG
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
KAW
1 - 1
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
NAG
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
SHO
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
YOK
0 - 3
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 1
AVI
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
AVI
1 - 0
FCT
21%
28%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
KAW
3 - 1
AVI
76%
17%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CER
2 - 2
AVI
66%
23%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 0
AVI
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |