Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Al-Ahly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUC
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
VIS
0 - 1
SAN
28%
26%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
CER
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
URA
2 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
CON
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 2
ALA
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 0
SUN
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SUN
3 - 3
ALA
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
ZAM
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |