San Telmo vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
STM
52%
27%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
STM
1 - 2
LIN
36%
29%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
STM
56%
26%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
STM
1 - 2
PLA
23%
30%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
STM
66%
23%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
LAF
28%
30%
42%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 0
EXC
59%
25%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
ITA
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
JJU
3 - 0
EXC
59%
25%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 1
SAC
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |