San Telmo vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
25.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
DAL
3 - 1
STM
55%
26%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
STM
0 - 1
EST
25%
30%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
STM
0 - 2
SUA
40%
30%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
STM
0 - 0
ALM
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AND
1 - 1
STM
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
AND
37%
29%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 0
DEF
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 3
MOR
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 2
COM
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |