Tercera Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
San Roque de Lepe vs Binissalem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
BNS
0 - 0
SRQ
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SRQ
2 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 3
SRQ
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CDT
3 - 0
SRQ
46%
27%
28%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SRQ
0 - 0
CDT
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Binissalem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
BNS
0 - 0
SRQ
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
BNS
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
BNS
0 - 0
ATL
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
REU
0 - 0
BNS
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BNS
1 - 0
REU
36%
27%
37%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |