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Serie D. Group C, Matchday 16

Luparense Arzignano Valchiampo
17 ELO 23
3% Tilt -38%
5560º General ELO ranking 4277º
250º Country ELO ranking 153º
ELO win probability
52.3%
Luparense
29.1%
Draw
18.5%
Arzignano Valchiampo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
Luparense
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
18.5%
Win probability
Arzignano Valchiampo
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luparense
+34%
-24%
Arzignano Valchiampo

Points and table prediction

Luparense
Their league position
Arzignano Valchiampo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
17º
52
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Trento
69
78
100%
Manzanese
56
66
85%
Clodiense
54
63
19%
Arzignano Valchiampo
52
59
13%
Luparense
50
58
17%
Mestre
50
58
13%
Adriese
49
55
11º
11%
Caldiero Terme
48
55
10º
10%
Cjarlins Muzane
48
57
10%
Delta Porto Tolle
10º
47
56
10%
Belluno
11º
47
55
11%
Cartigliano
12º
44
50
12º
23%
Union San Giorgio Sedico
13º
40
46
14º
19%
Ambrosiana
14º
38
47
13º
21%
Montebelluna
15º
35
42
17º
16%
Virtus Bolzano
16º
34
42
16º
20%
AC Este
17º
34
44
15º
15%
Campodarsego
18º
32
40
18º
17%
Union Feltre
19º
28
36
19º
64%
Chions
20º
19
24
20º
98%
Expected probabilities
Luparense
Arzignano Valchiampo
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
48% 55%
Mid-table
52% 45%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Luparense
SAN
Arzignano Valchiampo
UAR
Delta Porto Tolle
DEL
Montebelluna
MON
Clodiense
CLO
Adriese
SDA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luparense
Luparense
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2020
BEL
Belluno
2 - 2
Luparense
SAN
47%
27%
26%
234 259 25 0
27 Jan. 2021
SAN
Luparense
1 - 2
Trento
TRE
47%
27%
26%
234 155 79 0
13 Dec. 2020
GSD
Ambrosiana
0 - 3
Luparense
SAN
45%
27%
28%
234 249 15 0
04 Nov. 2020
SAN
Luparense
2 - 1
AC Este
ACE
46%
27%
27%
232 263 -31 +1
31 Oct. 2020
CJA
Cjarlins Muzane
2 - 1
Luparense
SAN
46%
27%
27%
234 220 -14 -1

Matches

Arzignano Valchiampo
Arzignano Valchiampo
1%
X%
2%
ELO UAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2020
UNI
Union Feltre
0 - 2
Arzignano Valchiampo
UAR
46%
27%
27%
296 275 -21 +2
14 Mar. 2021
UAR
Arzignano Valchiampo
2 - 1
Campodarsego
CAM
45%
27%
28%
296 339 -43 0
20 Dec. 2020
SGS
Union San Giorgio Sedico
0 - 1
Arzignano Valchiampo
UAR
45%
27%
28%
296 289 -7 0
13 Dec. 2020
UAR
Arzignano Valchiampo
2 - 0
Cartigliano
CAR
45%
27%
28%
296 280 16 0
04 Nov. 2020
CLO
Clodiense
2 - 1
Arzignano Valchiampo
UAR
42%
28%
31%
297 184 -113 -2