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Serie D. Girone C, Matchday 20

Luparense vs Montebelluna analysis

Luparense Montebelluna
23 ELO 19
-3% Tilt 0%
7835º General ELO ranking 10645º
297º Country ELO ranking 328º
ELO win probability
46.1%
Luparense
27.1%
Draw
26.8%
Montebelluna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
Luparense
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.8%
Win probability
Montebelluna
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luparense
+20%
-26%
Montebelluna

Points and table prediction

Luparense
Their league position
Montebelluna
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
11º
41
12º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Treviso
73
73
100%
Venezia
69
69
100%
Tamai
56
56
100%
Sandonà
55
55
50%
Luparense
55
55
50%
Union Quinto
49
49
50%
Rovigo Calcio
49
49
50%
AC Este
46
46
100%
Sanvitese
45
45
100%
Pordenone
10º
42
42
10º
50%
AC Chioggia
11º
42
42
11º
50%
Montebelluna
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Montecchio Maggiore
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Belluno
14º
39
39
14º
100%
US Opitergina
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Concordia
16º
36
36
16º
50%
Nk Kras Asd
17º
32
32
17º
100%
ASD Torviscosa
18º
23
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Luparense
Montebelluna
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Montebelluna
MON
Luparense
SAN
AC Este
ACE
Treviso
TRE
US Opitergina
USO
ASD Torviscosa
AST
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luparense
Luparense
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2011
BEL
Belluno
0 - 2
Luparense
SAN
46%
27%
27%
297 251 -46 +2
05 Jan. 2011
SAN
Luparense
2 - 1
Rovigo Calcio
ROV
45%
27%
28%
295 292 3 +1
29 Dec. 2010
SAN
Luparense
0 - 1
Montecchio Maggiore
MON
47%
27%
26%
297 213 84 -2
12 Dec. 2010
SAN
Sanvitese
1 - 2
Luparense
SAN
46%
27%
27%
295 265 -30 +1
08 Dec. 2010
SAN
Luparense
1 - 2
Concordia
CON
47%
27%
26%
297 241 56 -2

Matches

Montebelluna
Montebelluna
1%
X%
2%
ELO MON ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2011
MON
Montebelluna
1 - 2
Sandonà
SAN
46%
27%
27%
257 265 -8 -1
05 Jan. 2011
AST
ASD Torviscosa
0 - 0
Montebelluna
MON
47%
27%
26%
257 282 25 0
30 Dec. 2010
ACE
AC Este
1 - 2
Montebelluna
MON
47%
27%
26%
256 281 25 +2
12 Dec. 2010
MON
Montebelluna
1 - 1
Nk Kras Asd
NKK
46%
27%
27%
256 286 -30 0
08 Dec. 2010
VNZ
Venezia
1 - 0
Montebelluna
MON
53%
25%
22%
257 441 184 -1