Luparense vs Cerea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ACE
1 - 2
SAN
58%
22%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SCA
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RAV
0 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
LAN
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
VIR
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CER
1 - 3
TUT
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACE
3 - 0
CER
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CER
2 - 2
SCA
58%
22%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 1
CER
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |