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Serie D. Matchday 12

Luparense vs Belluno analysis

Luparense Belluno
23 ELO 17
29% Tilt 55%
8198º General ELO ranking 7166º
303º Country ELO ranking 270º
ELO win probability
44.6%
Luparense
23%
Draw
32.3%
Belluno

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
Luparense
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.3%
Win probability
Belluno
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luparense
+7%
-8%
Belluno

Points and table prediction

Luparense
Their league position
Belluno
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
20º
14º
52
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Delta Porto Tolle
º
75
75
0%
Tamai
º
46
46
12º
0%
Nk Kras Asd
º
29
29
19º
0%
Sanvitese
º
36
36
18º
0%
Giorgione
º
39
39
17º
0%
Montebelluna
º
43
43
16º
0%
Cerea
º
44
44
15º
0%
Luparense
º
46
46
14º
0%
AC Este
º
46
46
13º
0%
Legnago Salus
º
51
51
11º
0%
Pordenone
º
71
71
0%
Belluno
º
52
52
10º
0%
ACD Trissino
º
54
54
0%
Sacilese
º
56
56
0%
Sandonà
º
58
58
0%
Clodiense
º
65
65
0%
Real Vicenza VS
º
67
67
0%
Virtus Verona
º
69
69
0%
AC Sambonifacese
º
71
71
0%
Union Quinto
º
21
21
20º
0%
Expected probabilities
Luparense
Belluno
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Belluno
BEL
Luparense
SAN
Giorgione
GIO
Virtus Verona
VIR
ACD Trissino
ACD
Cerea
CER
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luparense
Luparense
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2012
SAN
Sanvitese
3 - 1
Luparense
SAN
45%
27%
29%
300 213 -87 -2
28 Oct. 2012
SAN
Luparense
3 - 1
Union Quinto
UNI
47%
27%
26%
298 256 42 +2
21 Oct. 2012
CER
Cerea
2 - 1
Luparense
SAN
46%
27%
27%
299 274 -25 -1
14 Oct. 2012
SAN
Luparense
1 - 0
Giorgione
GIO
47%
27%
26%
298 271 27 +1
07 Oct. 2012
TAM
Tamai
1 - 1
Luparense
SAN
46%
27%
28%
298 256 -42 0

Matches

Belluno
Belluno
1%
X%
2%
ELO BEL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2012
BEL
Belluno
1 - 2
Sandonà
SAN
46%
27%
27%
236 266 -30 -1
28 Oct. 2012
POR
Pordenone
3 - 2
Belluno
BEL
47%
27%
26%
237 277 40 -1
21 Oct. 2012
BEL
Belluno
1 - 0
ACD Trissino
ACD
41%
28%
30%
236 296 -60 +2
14 Oct. 2012
MON
Montebelluna
1 - 3
Belluno
BEL
45%
27%
28%
234 253 19 +2
07 Oct. 2012
BEL
Belluno
0 - 0
Legnago Salus
LEG
41%
28%
30%
234 314 -80 0