SN Notaresco 2018 vs Tolentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CYN
1 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
MAT
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
5 - 0
APR
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
4 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 0
UST
43%
23%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
UST
3 - 4
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
UST
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
APR
2 - 1
UST
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UST
0 - 0
PIN
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |