CA San Miguel vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
SAR
4 - 1
SMG
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SMG
0 - 0
TEM
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 1
SMG
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
SMG
2 - 0
ARQ
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
ITA
0 - 0
SMG
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
FLA
3 - 0
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
MER
2 - 3
SAR
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
TEM
2 - 0
MER
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
MER
0 - 1
MOR
42%
27%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
ARQ
1 - 0
MER
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |