San Martín Tucumán vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
TFE
2 - 1
SMA
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SMA
0 - 4
OLI
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
ALD
2 - 0
SMA
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 1
CHA
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
FER
0 - 0
SMA
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
INS
1 - 0
TAL
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
CAU
2 - 1
INS
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
INS
2 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
HUR
1 - 0
INS
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
INS
3 - 3
ALM
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |