San Martín Tucumán vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 0
FLA
67%
22%
11%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 1
SMA
21%
29%
50%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 0
ALM
55%
25%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DAL
2 - 0
SMA
21%
29%
50%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
BEL
40%
30%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 2
DEF
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 2
GIM
46%
30%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 3
DEF
37%
31%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAL
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
DEF
59%
26%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |