San Marino U19s vs Italy U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.8%
83.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
14.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
IRL
5 - 0
SMR
76%
15%
8%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SMR
0 - 5
AZE
14%
20%
66%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
SCT
8 - 0
SMR
91%
7%
2%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
HUN
6 - 0
SMR
91%
7%
2%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
SMR
0 - 4
LTU
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
ITA
5 - 0
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
RUS
1 - 0
ITA
36%
24%
40%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 2
MDA
87%
10%
3%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 2
LVA
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
ITA
1 - 3
DEU
39%
24%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |