San Marino Academy vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 2
SMA
82%
13%
6%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
CAI
14%
17%
70%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 0
PEN
8%
14%
78%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | +13 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TPE
3 - 1
SMA
83%
12%
5%
|
6 | 63 | 57 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SGI
3 - 1
SMA
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
4 - 0
FIO
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 0
PEN
75%
18%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 1
VIR
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |