Apertura B Phase 2 . Jor. 5

San Marcos Arica vs San Luis de Quillota analysis

San Marcos Arica San Luis de Quillota
56 ELO 59
13.4% Tilt 9.6%
2308º General ELO ranking 2499º
27º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
42.5%
San Marcos Arica
26.5%
Draw
31%
San Luis de Quillota

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
San Marcos Arica
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31%
Win probability
San Luis de Quillota
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
San Marcos Arica
+6%
+1%
San Luis de Quillota

ELO progression

San Marcos Arica
San Luis de Quillota
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

San Marcos Arica
San Marcos Arica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2013
USF
Unión San Felipe
3 - 0
San Marcos Arica
SAN
58%
23%
19%
56 65 9 0
06 Oct. 2013
CUR
Curicó Unido
1 - 1
San Marcos Arica
SAN
29%
26%
45%
57 50 7 -1
29 Sep. 2013
SAN
San Marcos Arica
3 - 2
Santiago Morning
SAN
52%
24%
25%
56 55 1 +1
22 Sep. 2013
SAN
San Marcos Arica
1 - 1
Naval de Talcahuano
NTA
69%
19%
12%
56 48 8 0
14 Sep. 2013
DLS
La Serena
2 - 3
San Marcos Arica
SAN
61%
21%
18%
55 60 5 +1

Matches

San Luis de Quillota
San Luis de Quillota
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2013
SAN
San Luis de Quillota
0 - 0
Magallanes
MAG
72%
18%
10%
60 48 12 0
13 Oct. 2013
COL
Colo-Colo
0 - 2
San Luis de Quillota
SAN
76%
15%
9%
59 75 16 +1
06 Oct. 2013
SAN
San Luis de Quillota
4 - 1
Santiago Morning
SAN
56%
23%
21%
58 54 4 +1
28 Sep. 2013
CON
Concepción
0 - 1
San Luis de Quillota
SAN
36%
27%
37%
58 50 8 0
23 Sep. 2013
SAN
San Luis de Quillota
2 - 1
Lota Schwager
LOT
71%
18%
10%
57 47 10 +1
X