San Marcos Arica vs San Luis de Quillota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
COQ
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 3
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
NTA
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 3
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 4
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
EVE
0 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 6
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |