San Marcos Arica vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CSD
1 - 2
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CDM
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
COB
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 5
DCO
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PUE
0 - 0
COB
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 2
COQ
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 2
DLS
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DCO
1 - 0
PUE
52%
27%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
MAG
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |