San Marcos Arica vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
MEJ
1 - 0
SAN
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
MPA
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 14 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 2
CSD
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
MPA
2 - 2
SAN
8%
15%
77%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
NTA
2 - 2
LOT
50%
25%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
NTA
3 - 1
DLI
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
NTA
64%
22%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
DLI
4 - 4
NTA
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NTA
1 - 0
MAG
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |