San Marcos Arica vs Everton Viña del Mar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
DCO
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NTA
3 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Everton Viña del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 0
COQ
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
EVE
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
EVE
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 1
ANT
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
EVE
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |