San Marcos Arica vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
PUE
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MAG
3 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAG
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
ANT
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EVE
1 - 0
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAG
3 - 1
EVE
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 0
DCO
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CSD
0 - 1
EVE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 1
CUR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |