Copa Chile . 1/32
Global 3-1
San Marcos Arica vs Deportes Vallenar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
USF
0 - 0
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
PUE
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Deportes Vallenar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDM
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 0
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
CDP
0 - 1
VAL
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAU
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |