San Marcos Arica vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
IBE
2 - 2
SAN
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CAU
0 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACC
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DER
1 - 2
IBE
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GVE
2 - 0
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
DER
0 - 2
ACC
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GVE
3 - 1
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DER
0 - 1
SAU
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |