Copa Chile . 1/16
Global 2-1
San Marcos Arica vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
CSD
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
COQ
1 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
USF
2 - 0
SAN
30%
29%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAG
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NUB
0 - 2
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
IND
4 - 2
IQU
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
IQU
56%
22%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
IQU
0 - 0
DEP
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 0
IQU
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
IQU
2 - 4
ANT
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |