San Marcos Arica vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 3
ULC
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
USF
5 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOT
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SWA
2 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
COQ
1 - 3
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
USF
3 - 0
IQU
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
IQU
2 - 1
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
IQU
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DLS
2 - 1
IQU
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
COQ
0 - 1
IQU
42%
25%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |