San Marcos Arica vs Deportes Copiapó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 3
COQ
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DLS
0 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
USF
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
CUR
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Copiapó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
DCO
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DCO
2 - 1
MAG
53%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
COQ
1 - 2
DCO
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DCO
4 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DCO
1 - 0
NTA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |