San Marcial vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
PRA
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAÑ
2 - 2
MAR
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AGO
1 - 2
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
HAR
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CDS
2 - 3
MAR
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AUT
0 - 1
RAP
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
RAP
5 - 1
CEN
60%
21%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RRI
4 - 1
RAP
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RAP
2 - 1
VAR
60%
20%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TED
5 - 1
RAP
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |