San Marcial vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 0
MAR
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ALD
2 - 3
MAR
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
REB
19%
20%
62%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
BAL
56%
20%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 1
MAR
8%
15%
77%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
PRA
3 - 1
CFC
23%
20%
58%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 1
HAR
27%
22%
52%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
3 - 1
RRF
42%
22%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 1
BAÑ
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
REB
3 - 2
CFC
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |