Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Atl. San Luis vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
3 - 2
LEO
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 2
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 1
AME
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 1
AUR
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
QRO
0 - 0
MON
26%
27%
48%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 2
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
NEC
68%
20%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |