Atl. San Luis vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
UAT
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 3
TEP
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
AUR
56%
24%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
AUR
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
MER
54%
25%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
NEC
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATL
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MER
3 - 0
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 0
TOR
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
IRA
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |