San Luis vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SNL
0 - 0
NEC
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
QRO
3 - 2
SNL
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
SNL
3 - 1
SAM
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SNL
1 - 1
ATS
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
SNL
60%
21%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 2
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |