Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-3
San Luis vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PUM
0 - 1
SNL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
QUI
3 - 2
SNL
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SNL
1 - 2
AME
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 0
SNL
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
SNL
3 - 1
QUI
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
GIM
1 - 1
ARG
33%
27%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
ARG
0 - 0
BOC
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GLP
1 - 1
ARG
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ARG
0 - 1
RAC
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SMA
0 - 0
ARG
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |