San Lorenzo vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
HUR
1 - 1
SLO
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SLO
3 - 1
TAL
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CEN
0 - 0
SLO
27%
25%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
SLO
1 - 1
ARG
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
LAN
2 - 2
SLO
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
CAU
1 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NOB
0 - 2
CAU
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CAU
0 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 1
CAU
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CAU
0 - 2
BAN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |